Tennis · resolved market
ITF San Salvador De Jujuy: Valentino Grippo vs Felipe De Dios
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5658fcda657982efb0f6f189e711956517f10faf55079d583171deadb837c177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felipe De Diosof Valentino Grippo, Felipe De Dios
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Felipe De Dios | 54c | 6,769$3,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Valentino Grippo | 52c | 2,640$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.02 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Valentino Grippo | 22c | 2,069$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Valentino Grippo | 22c | 1,024$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.31 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Valentino Grippo | 23c | 422$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Felipe De Dios | 65c | 350$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.57 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Valentino Grippo | 30c | 285$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Valentino Grippo | 23c | 218$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Valentino Grippo | 23c | 218$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Valentino Grippo | 22c | 208$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Valentino Grippo | 25c | 160.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Felipe De Dios | 55c | 139.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Valentino Grippo | 23c | 125.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Valentino Grippo | 22c | 96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Valentino Grippo | 48c | 91.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Felipe De Dios | 28c | 78.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Felipe De Dios | 66c | 75.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Valentino Grippo | 22c | 66.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Valentino Grippo | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Felipe De Dios | 59c | 64.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Felipe De Dios | 73c | 50.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Valentino Grippo | 26c | 39.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…142ebacked Felipe De Dios | 78c | 35.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +8.9wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Felipe De Dios | 62c | 34.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Felipe De Dios | 70c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Felipe De Dios | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Valentino Grippo | 80c | 22.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Valentino Grippo | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Felipe De Dios | 58c | 18.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…51bfbacked Felipe De Dios | 59c | 17.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.