Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duquesne Dukes vs. Rhode Island Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56722a80773c3fec8993ca2fe3d4c4fff1b51d8949963117d907e2a610a87b15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rhode Island Ramsof Duquesne Dukes, Rhode Island Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,714 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rhode Island Rams | 56c | 10,135$5,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.12 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Duquesne Dukes | 44c | 8,657$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,812.12 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Duquesne Dukes | 44c | 3,639$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.35 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 44c | 3,333$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.51 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Rhode Island Rams | 56c | 1,888$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rhode Island Rams | 66c | 1,499$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.64 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Rhode Island Rams | 55c | 1,459$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.48 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Rhode Island Rams | 51c | 1,269$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.64 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Rhode Island Rams | 56c | 1,177$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.99 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Duquesne Dukes | 35c | 940.35$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.94 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rhode Island Rams | 55c | 798.37$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.76 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Duquesne Dukes | 51c | 729.02$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.32 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Duquesne Dukes | 40c | 528.72$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.96 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Duquesne Dukes | 46c | 523.48$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.51 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Duquesne Dukes | 41c | 489.86$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Rhode Island Rams | 56c | 371.77$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.58 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Rhode Island Rams | 60c | 306.71$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.62 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rhode Island Rams | 54c | 260.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Duquesne Dukes | 43c | 239.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rhode Island Rams | 55c | 236.58$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Duquesne Dukes | 43c | 221.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…ae69backed Duquesne Dukes | 45c | 220.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rhode Island Rams | 54c | 205.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Duquesne Dukes | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Duquesne Dukes | 49c | 199.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rhode Island Rams | 65c | 185.59$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rhode Island Rams | 56c | 180.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Rhode Island Rams | 55c | 179.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Rhode Island Rams | 56c | 177.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Rhode Island Rams | 68c | 175.72$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Rhode Island Rams | 44c | 160.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Duquesne Dukes | 44c | 156.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Duquesne Dukes | 9c | 156.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duquesne Dukes | 36c | 131.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Duquesne Dukes | 22c | 122.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rhode Island Rams | 56c | 104.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Rhode Island Rams | 53c | 102.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…2ec7backed Rhode Island Rams | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Duquesne Dukes | 47c | 96.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Duquesne Dukes | 47c | 80.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Duquesne Dukes | 48c | 78.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Rhode Island Rams | 47c | 63.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Rhode Island Rams | 54c | 48.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 45c | 44.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Rhode Island Rams | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Rhode Island Rams | 55c | 37.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rhode Island Rams | 39c | 36.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Duquesne Dukes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Rhode Island Rams | 53c | 27.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Duquesne Dukes | 48c | 27.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Duquesne Dukes | 48c | 27.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Rhode Island Rams | 59c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Duquesne Dukes | 47c | 24.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…c2c1backed Rhode Island Rams | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Duquesne Dukes | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Rhode Island Rams | 71c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Duquesne Dukes | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duquesne Dukes vs. Rhode Island Ramsthis page
- Duquesne Dukes vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-1.5)Rhode Island Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.