CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x570d837f1e74caa868b22f416256e1e36205e8a890dce07093f5be333751be0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,840 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 49c | 1,192$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Under | 48c | 842.42$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.36 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Under | 51c | 544.22$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.06 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.42 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 49c | 404.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd504…8c32backed Over | 40c | 363$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…8a6bbacked Over | 40c | 344$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ce…be52backed Under | 60c | 328$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6201…ff8abacked Over | 40c | 318$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 60c | 298.26$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 295.59$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.71 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 51c | 287.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 53c | 282.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 63c | 250.74$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf78…5b50backed Under | 60c | 248$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…bc21backed Under | 61c | 229$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 48c | 207.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…4706backed Under | 61c | 203.72$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…cd64backed Under | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 57c | 167.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…9773backed Under | 60c | 163$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Under | 50c | 154.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215c…f0b6backed Over | 39c | 153$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 57c | 150.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Over | 54c | 147.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…4f07backed Over | 39c | 138$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 133$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 66c | 125.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…c4c3backed Under | 60c | 111$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50df…d1e7backed Under | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…8063backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4383…aeefbacked Over | 39c | 93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…79cdbacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 47c | 52.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Over | 35c | 51.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 65c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Under | 50c | 48.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Over | 39c | 38.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 52c | 33.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 47c | 30.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 53c | 30.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 52c | 27.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc753…005ebacked Over | 50c | 26.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 58c | 25.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over | 52c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…8b98backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc6…7affbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Heroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Map Handicap: PSSN.UA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.