MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x575ba26e98f2b9c82340ea9725399c9989ceba10d4c65bd19515e6dc4c7e676e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,056 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 1,725$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.85 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,367$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.12 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 1,017$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.56 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 600$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 539.36$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.71 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 417.44$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.37 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 406.82$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 346.13$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 338$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.49 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 323.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 320.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 264$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…37a5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 233.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 224$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…c717backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 219.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 201$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 200.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 169.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 151$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 144.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 136.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…eb42backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 132.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 100.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 95.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 72.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 57.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…79afbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2e…139fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 46.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…ec46backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 38.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 33.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 31.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 31.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 27.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 21.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x862c…9d40backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.