South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-05-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57716a9967c97276245fdea4c3f8787d0c5a1185e6a8cfa6e2f93b307562cd53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 3,150$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.99 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 1c | 1,277$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 76c | 992$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.08 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 669.3$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.07 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 78c | 252.82$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 11c | 249.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 12c | 230$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed Yes | 11c | 196.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 22c | 178.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 22c | 154.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 21c | 147.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 133.26$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 78c | 129.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…7219backed Yes | 24c | 108.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 78c | 98.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 25c | 64.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Yes | 23c | 60.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…1349backed No | 77c | 55.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 78c | 50.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 47.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…33c9backed No | 77c | 34.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed No | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 71c | 27.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 25.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 78c | 22.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 73c | 20.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 76c | 19.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 19.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tolima win on 2026-05-19?this page
- Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.