TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,752 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x509d…0a6bbacked Over34c2,286$779 inLost-$778.5967056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over33c1,920$633 inLost-$633.471,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Under66c1,803$1,194 inWon+$609.161,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under67c1,732$1,160 inWon+$571.581,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under67c1,500$1,005 inWon+$4951,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over32c1,427$457 inLost-$456.792,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under66c1,343$889 inWon+$454.3135243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Under68c1,000$680 inWon+$32057945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under66c600$396 inWon+$20450848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over35c549.14$192 inLost-$192.227142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over28c299.66$84 inLost-$83.614429.2%42 W · 102 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under68c288.82$196 inWon+$92.4219744.2%87 W · 110 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Under72c178.05$128 inWon+$49.8575942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over29c115.05$33 inLost-$33.393,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under66c100$66 inWon+$3431650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Over36c93$33 inLost-$33.4827248.9%133 W · 139 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Over32c69.21$22 inLost-$22.151,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under64c60$38 inWon+$21.639044.6%174 W · 216 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d4…2059backed Over33c58.17$19 inLost-$19.22045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under63c49.38$31 inWon+$18.2710748.6%52 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under61c38$23 inWon+$14.772,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Over33c34.9$12 inLost-$11.5235755.7%199 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Under76c33.06$25 inWon+$8.0839859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05bc…eabbbacked Under75c28$21 inWon+$7.1214139%55 W · 86 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under61c27$16 inWon+$10.581,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.