Tennis · resolved market
ITF Evansville: Renata Zarazua vs Caroline Dolehide
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x579127cf07a8354f53e486f24a833797b89843a3ab0cb63cedf76b98785ac726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Caroline Dolehideof Renata Zarazua, Caroline Dolehide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Caroline Dolehide | 70c | 8,748$6,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.85 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Renata Zarazua | 40c | 5,969$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.67 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Renata Zarazua | 23c | 2,994$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.02 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Caroline Dolehide | 59c | 1,005$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.07 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Caroline Dolehide | 79c | 517.32$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Caroline Dolehide | 52c | 459.5$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 380 | 38.2%145 W · 235 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Caroline Dolehide | 56c | 269$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Renata Zarazua | 48c | 252.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Renata Zarazua | 44c | 210.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Renata Zarazua | 48c | 202$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Renata Zarazua | 22c | 110.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Renata Zarazua | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Renata Zarazua | 22c | 92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 252 | 59.9%151 W · 101 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Caroline Dolehide | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Caroline Dolehide | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a8…5aedbacked Renata Zarazua | 42c | 63.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +10.5wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +33%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Renata Zarazua | 43c | 60.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Renata Zarazua | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Renata Zarazua | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Renata Zarazua | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Renata Zarazua | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Renata Zarazua | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Caroline Dolehide | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Caroline Dolehide | 77c | 24.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Caroline Dolehide | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.