NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x579273112fc991974c328184daba1bdd982efa7cf4dc745ceee3dbfdf1e401cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Blues, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Blues | 28c | 615.18$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.72 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Predators | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Predators | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…357bbacked Predators | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blues | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Predators | 71c | 147.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Blues | 27c | 104.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Predators | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b0…d410backed Blues | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b1…9121backed Blues | 29c | 99.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Blues | 29c | 94.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Predators | 70c | 79.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Blues | 29c | 77.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Predators | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Predators | 71c | 39.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Predators | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Predators | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Predators | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Predators | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. BluesPredators won
- Predators vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Over won
- Predators vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.