NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9facea001979b0958c63287b6d38dff72a071d5f861d1cda8b73b20acb786ca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 48c | 9,012$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…3061backed Over | 52c | 6,736$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 51c | 2,418$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.31 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 1,845$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.78 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 51c | 1,603$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Over | 52c | 625$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 475.92$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.44 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 127.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…807ebacked Under | 50c | 53.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 50c | 46.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…f11dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…a20dbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…140fbacked Under | 49c | 33.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 22.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Blues: O/U 5.5this page
- Predators vs. BluesPredators won
- Predators vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.