NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Blues: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefbfc8f406ea1919f8d8ceadef45567ce8b3724b5270254494985aa474c4696f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4052…eb90backed Over | 42c | 15,200$6,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,816 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb530…4422backed Under | 58c | 14,100$8,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,178 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.75 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 40c | 4,996$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.41 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…72b0backed Under | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 40c | 976$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.46 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 49c | 612.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.4 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 61c | 569$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.34 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 41c | 444.4$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 59c | 254.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.18 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 43c | 228$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.96 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 57c | 228$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Blues: O/U 6.5this page
- Predators vs. BluesPredators won
- Predators vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.