Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Sion (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58028efddf2a99fa944cff5b5deb3e8404ad84bdb4134b344a84649f248570d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK BATE Barysaŭof FC Sion, FK BATE Barysaŭ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked FC Sion | 47c | 960.54$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.75 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FK BATE Barysaŭ | 66c | 921.12$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.87 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…2d14backed FC Sion | 60c | 820.63$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FK BATE Barysaŭ | 40c | 484.87$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.92 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FK BATE Barysaŭ | 55c | 400.13$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.06 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FK BATE Barysaŭ | 49c | 400$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FC Sion | 80c | 359.09$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.07 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked FC Sion | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FK BATE Barysaŭ | 20c | 275$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.75 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Sion | 12c | 178.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FK BATE Barysaŭ | 18c | 110.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FK BATE Barysaŭ | 80c | 108.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FC Sion | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FK BATE Barysaŭ | 72c | 71.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked FK BATE Barysaŭ | 51c | 61.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed FC Sion | 20c | 55.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked FC Sion | 21c | 53.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed FC Sion | 23c | 46.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FK BATE Barysaŭ | 41c | 30.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed FK BATE Barysaŭ | 77c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…6322backed FC Sion | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Sion (-1.5)this page
- FK BATE Barysaŭ vs. FC Sion: FK BATE Barysaŭ O/U 1.5Under won
- FK BATE Barysaŭ vs. FC Sion: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK BATE Barysaŭ vs. FC Sion: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK BATE Barysaŭ vs. FC Sion: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK BATE Barysaŭ vs. FC Sion: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.