Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Braga beat Union St.-Gilloise?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x585182b32c53022f3a09073739c7c31921e448df8af69f67169c58bc45aa1085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 52c | 6,253$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.58 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 24c | 6,002$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.43 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 76c | 5,456$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.37 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267a…425dbacked Yes | 27c | 477.78$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 56c | 474.01$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.88 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…27fbbacked Yes | 22c | 298.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 75c | 265.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 77c | 201.56$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 54c | 182.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes | 55c | 100.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 66c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 45c | 79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 44c | 62.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…7d08backed Yes | 25c | 60.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 20c | 58.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…ee90backed Yes | 43c | 34.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…e87fbacked No | 76c | 19.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Braga beat Union St.-Gilloise?this page
- Will Union St.-Gilloise beat Braga?Yes won
- Will the match between Union St.-Gilloise and Braga end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.