MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x585c8134ac18b6af6546f4041e6398918b82e6109cf1894197dad183e78ff7aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Detroit Tigers, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 3,763$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.01 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 3,456$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.46 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 65c | 3,426$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.32 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Detroit Tigers | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 67c | 2,866$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.47 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 63c | 2,843$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.6 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 2,774$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.66 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed New York Yankees | 63c | 2,429$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.78 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed New York Yankees | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.07 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees | 72c | 1,079$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.47 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 1,071$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.63 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed New York Yankees | 63c | 484.24$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.97 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 62c | 468.92$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.19 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Detroit Tigers | 18c | 241.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 65c | 202.36$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 199.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 197.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 193.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed New York Yankees | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked New York Yankees | 75c | 141.91$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 64c | 106$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked New York Yankees | 79c | 104.49$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 74.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Detroit Tigers | 28c | 72.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 59.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 51.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Detroit Tigers | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 34.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed New York Yankees | 74c | 28.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942a…aedcbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked New York Yankees | 74c | 21.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 66c | 20.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed New York Yankees | 62c | 19.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed New York Yankees | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed New York Yankees | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 1,481 | 63.5%940 W · 541 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.