MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa1e27321af456cd4258982e4260f4e9010dc1461b5d90b560c8e15041e8cc05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 55c | 118,923$65,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,515.31 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 100,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 16,278$7,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,479.42 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 46c | 14,562$6,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,628.11 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 12,494$6,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,662.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 12,352$5,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,562.66 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Under | 55c | 11,776$6,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.12 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 8,326$4,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.06 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 6,288$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.08 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 5,960$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.89 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 5,704$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Under | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 1,948$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.6 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,625$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.5 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 1,458$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.26 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 54c | 1,397$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.59 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 59c | 1,290$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.32 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 56c | 1,273$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 59c | 1,215$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.26 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 45c | 1,130$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 46c | 985.52$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.34 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 47c | 941.97$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.73 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…ac88backed Under | 61c | 818.03$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 814.59$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 44c | 599$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.13 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 63c | 503.43$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.5 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 420$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…bdd5backed Under | 56c | 418.41$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.1 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 44c | 312.76$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 45c | 308.55$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.16 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 53c | 274.82$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.17 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 61c | 236$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 48c | 219.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 202$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 199.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 39c | 193.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 39c | 189$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Under | 53c | 176.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 68c | 145.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 68c | 145.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 143.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 54c | 136.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 128.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 56c | 126.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Under | 55c | 121.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 40c | 109.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 37c | 105$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 48c | 94.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Under | 53c | 84.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 54c | 81.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 53c | 77.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 53c | 77.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 37c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 68c | 72.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 68c | 72.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Under | 62c | 71.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1c0dbacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 45c | 61.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Under | 54c | 53.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Over | 64c | 51.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 65c | 49.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Under | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 46.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e203backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 45c | 40.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 63c | 40.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 51c | 37.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 45c | 35.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Over | 54c | 31.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Over | 41c | 31.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Over | 46c | 30.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Over | 48c | 29.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 56c | 24.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…7c8fbacked Over | 65c | 21.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.