Cricket · resolved market
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Multan Sultans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x586e2892274be6d1e9b13a4368f27a31f8fb31fb8f8ad4f77c8c3de511e46207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Multan Sultansof Karachi Kings, Multan Sultans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Karachi Kings | 43c | 2,580$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.51 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Multan Sultans | 52c | 1,467$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.54 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Multan Sultans | 68c | 985.21$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.79 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Multan Sultans | 64c | 306.92$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Multan Sultans | 52c | 293.95$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Multan Sultans | 52c | 225.69$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Karachi Kings | 43c | 174.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Multan Sultans | 60c | 166.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Karachi Kings | 25c | 120.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Karachi Kings | 35c | 116.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Multan Sultans | 57c | 70.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Karachi Kings | 37c | 64.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Multan Sultans | 64c | 58.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4830…a59dbacked Karachi Kings | 20c | 55.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a4…92a8backed Karachi Kings | 41c | 47.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7395…fdeebacked Karachi Kings | 43c | 40.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Multan Sultans | 57c | 25.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Multan Sultans | 58c | 24.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Multan Sultans | 65c | 22.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.