Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x587986613667c14a64ea25ece332e208de611e813d0adb0fd16b465c6a0a6bb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof NRG, Leviatán Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG | 35c | 30,491$10,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,823.05 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Leviatán Esports | 64c | 27,083$17,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,699.83 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Leviatán Esports | 67c | 3,300$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Leviatán Esports | 70c | 1,399$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.16 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed NRG | 30c | 1,276$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.43 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked NRG | 32c | 267.39$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Leviatán Esports | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Leviatán Esports | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked NRG | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Leviatán Esports | 67c | 167$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked NRG | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Leviatán Esports | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Leviatán Esports | 66c | 88.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed NRG | 34c | 74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb3…9e69backed NRG | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed NRG | 30c | 38.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group StageLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.