CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Hashiras (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58a2df4c26c489855d5b789266571541749d50736c814883147bd6e5b7094380
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hashirasof CYBERSHOKE Prospects, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Hashiras | 54c | 1,020$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.2 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 46c | 972.85$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 46c | 695.23$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.75 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Hashiras | 54c | 680.68$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.16 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 38c | 680.15$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.46 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Hashiras | 52c | 626.65$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.34 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 46c | 575.39$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.02 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 28c | 476.64$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Hashiras | 55c | 444$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 47c | 424.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Hashiras | 53c | 396.36$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.05 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Hashiras | 79c | 388.62$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hashiras | 68c | 320.13$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 46c | 305$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hashiras | 53c | 272.64$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0be…17fabacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 69c | 249.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…3a39backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 46c | 217.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed Hashiras | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Hashiras | 66c | 191.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 10c | 154.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hashiras | 53c | 150.91$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hashiras | 70c | 113.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 47c | 110.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 29c | 102.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked Hashiras | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Hashiras | 74c | 74.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Hashiras | 58c | 65.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 36c | 64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 26c | 61.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Hashiras | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 44c | 54.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Hashiras | 80c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Hashiras | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Hashiras | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 37c | 40.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0776…b9d4backed Hashiras | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 43c | 29.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Hashiras | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e12…d082backed Hashiras | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 43c | 26.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Hashiras | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Hashiras | 48c | 24.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Hashiras | 80c | 24.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc88…8425backed Hashiras | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Hashiras (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Hashiras - Map 1 WinnerHashiras won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Hashiras - Map 2 WinnerHashiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.