Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58b238fbbab83d31ce1a366dca1c7a6c0548cac13d5d0c903bf22b24a9281bab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb63…7fb5backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 1,415$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.58 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 1,389$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 40c | 1,247$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.68 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked No | 55c | 1,182$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 1,151$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.65 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 839.71$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.07 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 60c | 637.5$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 40c | 637.5$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 562.71$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.31 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 73c | 523.83$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 45c | 516.57$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.6 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 35c | 350$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 5c | 215.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 66c | 191$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Yes | 38c | 178.19$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 38c | 151$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 33c | 149.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 68c | 130.46$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 62c | 125.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 57c | 116$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 62c | 103.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 102.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 37c | 85.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 40c | 51.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 38c | 36.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed No | 59c | 29.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Watford FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.