Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bielsko Biala: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Gregor Hausberger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58da57074aed672087386eb02f80b3f6ea079e0fc0bb7401ef4dbd6b2fbcc355
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gregor Hausbergerof Jeremy Gschwendtner, Gregor Hausberger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jeremy Gschwendtner | 1c | 9,504$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed Jeremy Gschwendtner | 17c | 3,720$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gregor Hausberger | 75c | 3,599$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gregor Hausberger | 37c | 390.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.84 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Jeremy Gschwendtner | 63c | 376$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Gregor Hausberger | 38c | 316.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.62 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e14…5169backed Jeremy Gschwendtner | 72c | 202.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.01 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Jeremy Gschwendtner | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gregor Hausberger | 48c | 131.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jeremy Gschwendtner | 76c | 113.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Jeremy Gschwendtner | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Jeremy Gschwendtner | 17c | 64.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jeremy Gschwendtner | 72c | 55.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Jeremy Gschwendtner | 73c | 54.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Gregor Hausberger | 42c | 53.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4562…b300backed Jeremy Gschwendtner | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Jeremy Gschwendtner | 63c | 18.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…4c3abacked Gregor Hausberger | 77c | 15.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 147 | 75.5%111 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.