Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International, Qualification: Jaqueline Cristian vs Anastasia Potapova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x592af48fbe721a779fcdf7b7217deb8fd368105e9a3fceb1801ea7d64ab9b541
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cristianof Cristian, Potapova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Cristian | 74c | 4,253$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.01 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7318…cc3cbacked Cristian | 50c | 3,648$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Potapova | 48c | 2,886$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Potapova | 28c | 2,831$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Potapova | 40c | 996.67$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.67 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Potapova | 29c | 858.34$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Potapova | 18c | 789.33$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Potapova | 18c | 687.75$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Cristian | 63c | 639.85$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.74 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Cristian | 70c | 541$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.12 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Potapova | 41c | 484.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.56 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Potapova | 25c | 433.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.14 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Potapova | 18c | 399.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Potapova | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Cristian | 79c | 344.34$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cristian | 69c | 333.98$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.84 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Cristian | 70c | 311$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Potapova | 16c | 255.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Potapova | 26c | 223.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd7…215ebacked Cristian | 76c | 209$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Cristian | 48c | 206.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Potapova | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Cristian | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cristian | 76c | 157$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Potapova | 16c | 122$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Potapova | 36c | 119.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Potapova | 47c | 115$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Cristian | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Potapova | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Potapova | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Potapova | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Potapova | 23c | 66.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Potapova | 22c | 60.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…b47fbacked Cristian | 78c | 52.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…25cebacked Cristian | 52c | 28.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Potapova | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…3d2bbacked Cristian | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 78cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked Potapova | 54c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…4aa8backed Cristian | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.43per pick | 47cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Potapova | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.