CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x597bb3ec1d5550cbee30ca2109ebb90d4fe5aaf820a96f3651edb769af88cdcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebels Gamingof Infinite, Rebels Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Rebels Gaming | 36c | 1,227$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.72 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Infinite | 62c | 481.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.1 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Infinite | 38c | 466$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Infinite | 26c | 310.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Infinite | 44c | 285.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Rebels Gaming | 38c | 239.47$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.47 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Infinite | 62c | 208.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.57 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rebels Gaming | 37c | 189.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.69 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rebels Gaming | 44c | 188.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Rebels Gaming | 38c | 161.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Infinite | 79c | 161.44$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…da05backed Rebels Gaming | 78c | 136.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Rebels Gaming | 59c | 128$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Rebels Gaming | 17c | 99.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Rebels Gaming | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Infinite | 47c | 98.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Rebels Gaming | 37c | 95.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rebels Gaming | 48c | 92.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Infinite | 51c | 65.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Infinite | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Infinite | 35c | 54.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Infinite | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Infinite | 63c | 40.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Infinite | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed Infinite | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Rebels Gaming | 38c | 37.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Rebels Gaming | 37c | 36.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Rebels Gaming | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Rebels Gaming | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Infinite | 37c | 33.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Infinite | 41c | 30.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…9f06backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Infinite | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Rebels Gaming | 58c | 21.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Rebels Gaming | 76c | 16.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked Rebels Gaming | 62c | 16.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Infinite | 66c | 16.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Infinite | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Rebels Gaming | 77c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Rebels Gaming - Map 2 WinnerRebels Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.