TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid: Nerman Fatic vs Pol Martin Tiffon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nerman Faticof Nerman Fatic, Pol Martin Tiffon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d76…9168backed Pol Martin Tiffon65c7,280$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,759.6237540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nerman Fatic57c2,829$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.97,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nerman Fatic43c2,656$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.778,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pol Martin Tiffon43c2,002$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.172,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Nerman Fatic47c983.32$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.321,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Nerman Fatic54c900.46$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.261,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Nerman Fatic52c893.07$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.6844448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nerman Fatic45c593.75$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.573,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Pol Martin Tiffon55c591.9$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5411158.6%65 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Pol Martin Tiffon52c573.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.835550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Pol Martin Tiffon54c536.36$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.392,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nerman Fatic18c501.67$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.013,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56f…437dbacked Nerman Fatic42c464.24$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.261973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Nerman Fatic59c458.3$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2615850%79 W · 79 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Nerman Fatic38c456.06$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.761,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Nerman Fatic22c424.75$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.433149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6090…06e0backed Pol Martin Tiffon54c377.22$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.75549.1%27 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Nerman Fatic42c367.59$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.962,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nerman Fatic30c319.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.554,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nerman Fatic58c280.9$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pol Martin Tiffon60c249.6$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.049,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nerman Fatic31c241.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.684,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Nerman Fatic47c229.71$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6319851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Nerman Fatic46c222.42$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3424637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nerman Fatic22c206.69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.021,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Pol Martin Tiffon68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13630857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Nerman Fatic49c198.68$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7550458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nerman Fatic41c196.02$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.268,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Nerman Fatic34c174.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0610059%59 W · 41 L+14.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Nerman Fatic56c162.71$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4127247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Nerman Fatic35c149.52$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.481,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Nerman Fatic47c148.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9221451.4%110 W · 104 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Pol Martin Tiffon54c142.88$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.591,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Pol Martin Tiffon53c140.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.647,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Nerman Fatic56c139.02$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5622465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a40…281ebacked Pol Martin Tiffon66c132.39$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.381353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick72cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x355b…18ecbacked Pol Martin Tiffon80c123.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.82268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Pol Martin Tiffon59c116.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.086,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Nerman Fatic44c116.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.661,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Pol Martin Tiffon52c115.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2132554.2%176 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Pol Martin Tiffon74c111.74$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.691,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Nerman Fatic45c106.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.82,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Pol Martin Tiffon53c105.83$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.093534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked Nerman Fatic47c105.27$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.797349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nerman Fatic42c104.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.92,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Nerman Fatic43c103.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.14,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3373…50c4backed Pol Martin Tiffon52c102.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.782532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Pol Martin Tiffon23c91.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0649342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Nerman Fatic47c89.14$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2934847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Pol Martin Tiffon53c77$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.811,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Pol Martin Tiffon55c75.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2785250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Pol Martin Tiffon41c73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2629241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Pol Martin Tiffon44c70.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.346,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Nerman Fatic18c64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2163746%293 W · 344 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nerman Fatic25c62.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.237,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d98…46b8backed Nerman Fatic47c61.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Nerman Fatic47c61.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7548552.4%254 W · 231 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Pol Martin Tiffon56c53.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7332043.8%140 W · 180 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Pol Martin Tiffon55c52.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.651,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Pol Martin Tiffon55c49.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3285748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Nerman Fatic52c47.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.731358.5%183 W · 130 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Pol Martin Tiffon41c47.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.310550.5%53 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pol Martin Tiffon62c44.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.026,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Nerman Fatic44c43.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3553457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…8cebbacked Nerman Fatic43c41.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.534042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Nerman Fatic46c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5226254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb25…184cbacked Pol Martin Tiffon54c33.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pol Martin Tiffon53c31.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.584,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4af2…9676backed Pol Martin Tiffon54c28.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Pol Martin Tiffon59c27.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.261,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Pol Martin Tiffon56c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1245235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Nerman Fatic45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.751,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Pol Martin Tiffon58c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9274955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Pol Martin Tiffon54c22.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1519344.6%86 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60d…03a8backed Pol Martin Tiffon60c19.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.717962%49 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Nerman Fatic79c17.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.891880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Pol Martin Tiffon73c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.644,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a5…c965backed Pol Martin Tiffon78c15.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.033461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.