Tennis · resolved market
Hobart International: Anna Bondar vs Ella Seidel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x599576605f3428692cf5b6cce994600f37456bc0b99d9d3b4099a6028ab4246d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bondarof Bondar, Seidel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Bondar | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Seidel | 47c | 2,843$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.04 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Bondar | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Seidel | 46c | 1,186$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.73 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Seidel | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bondar | 51c | 1,050$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.43 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Seidel | 46c | 938$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.15 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Seidel | 46c | 879.14$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Seidel | 53c | 565$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seidel | 6c | 433.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Seidel | 45c | 394.38$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.87 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Seidel | 46c | 318.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.63 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Seidel | 37c | 223.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Bondar | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Seidel | 40c | 163.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bondar | 55c | 139.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Bondar | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Seidel | 26c | 94.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Seidel | 12c | 85.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Bondar | 30c | 72.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Seidel | 17c | 69.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Seidel | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Seidel | 47c | 44.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bondar | 54c | 43.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Seidel | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Bondar | 53c | 31.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Bondar | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bondar | 58c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Bondar | 54c | 19.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hobart International: Anna Bondar vs Ella Seidelthis page
- Bondar vs. Seidel: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Bondar vs SeidelBondar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.