TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,646 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes58c6,991$4,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.157552%39 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c2,147$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.898,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No42c2,118$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.4142962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes44c1,738$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.91,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No42c964.92$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.611,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c745.63$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.15,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes76c667.35$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9484943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c617.47$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.883,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No20c596$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.141,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No42c530.86$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.964637%17 W · 29 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes57c448.95$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.0519144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes45c365.31$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.923737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No37c317.53$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.481,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No42c307.59$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.191,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes34c282.47$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.431241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No24c250.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1799259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c237.38$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.332,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No55c235.48$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.476451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No55c233.4$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.469361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No55c215.96$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.787660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No56c211.22$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3210456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No42c205.72$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.41,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f89…e85bbacked Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No54c180.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2418859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No43c157.1$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.961,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes60c152.84$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.145345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No19c150.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5485220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No40c141.32$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.121,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No44c138.28$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.845962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes56c128.72$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1512827.3%35 W · 93 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No42c119.76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5621345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked No55c109.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.122369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No42c106.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.531,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked No42c106.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.592152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes74c103.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.941,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No43c103.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0123551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked No55c103.71$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.925172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes59c99.19$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6776951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed No42c96.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.541752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed No42c96.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.542152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Yes55c87.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.433063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+54.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Yes62c80.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.442236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes61c78.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4721251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes64c77.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7694848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7b0…ae0dbacked Yes57c73.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.27875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No40c70.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.351,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes33c69.8$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7730231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes38c65.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.849344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No55c64.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3828158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4162…46cfbacked Yes61c64.74$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.25785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+86.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No53c60.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.46558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes79c60.23$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.732,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No47c60.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3416255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes31c56.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.93458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3229…4299backed Yes45c53.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.551850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No54c53.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8536757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed No41c50.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.511872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No54c49.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0819056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No42c45.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0416653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No44c43.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1317950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Yes46c43.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.356756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Yes32c42.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8318145.3%82 W · 99 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked No58c41.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.892860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked No58c40.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.94866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No54c38.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8617857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed No58c38.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.433050%15 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f62…a825backed Yes45c36.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No58c34.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9741256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No57c33.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.096369.8%44 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdea…c050backed Yes59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.566346%29 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No58c31.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2963657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No58c31.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2933560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No58c31.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2918154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed No58c31.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.293764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No58c31.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2912361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No58c31.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2916160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb074…a232backed Yes58c30.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.64944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes78c30.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.71,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed No44c29.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.194761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No43c29.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.628261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No42c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.478439.3%33 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed Yes57c26.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2821266.5%141 W · 71 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed No43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.757156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes59c24.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…1821backed Yes79c24.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed No45c22.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.065362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes75c18.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6124654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked No57c17.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.123953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.