NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59e2567e1d91b3f0a8faceec91866f0100719981651a935841e0185f9179b199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Wizards, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Wizards | 3c | 11,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 10c | 7,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 9c | 5,712$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.34 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Wizards | 6c | 3,789$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 12c | 3,096$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.56 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…e061backed Wizards | 11c | 2,788$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.29 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4313…b39ebacked Wizards | 2c | 2,678$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9666…5bcfbacked Wizards | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 2c | 1,935$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Wizards | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…c1a8backed Wizards | 1c | 1,600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Wizards | 12c | 1,555$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Wizards | 11c | 1,271$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.73 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Wizards | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Wizards | 12c | 1,046$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.57 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Wizards | 11c | 999.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 11c | 999.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Wizards | 11c | 999.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Wizards | 2c | 939.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…0287backed Wizards | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…a0ecbacked Wizards | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Wizards | 12c | 822$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…74e7backed Wizards | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…d4cdbacked Wizards | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bd…08ffbacked Wizards | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34f…1c95backed Wizards | 12c | 695.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Wizards | 13c | 692.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…a315backed Wizards | 3c | 666.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b0…dd7abacked Wizards | 5c | 600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Wizards | 9c | 580$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…33d8backed Wizards | 11c | 568.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…55ffbacked Wizards | 5c | 556.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…a2d4backed Wizards | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Wizards | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Wizards | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ae07backed Wizards | 11c | 488.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…08c7backed Wizards | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Wizards | 12c | 407.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Wizards | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…dc9ebacked Wizards | 13c | 390.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 5c | 294.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…e00ebacked Wizards | 7c | 281.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Wizards | 11c | 275.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…f292backed Wizards | 11c | 273.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…318bbacked Wizards | 12c | 245.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Wizards | 12c | 245.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Wizards | 10c | 225$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…f7eebacked Wizards | 13c | 218$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1215backed Wizards | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Wizards | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Wizards | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…956fbacked Wizards | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…1c01backed Wizards | 11c | 198.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 10c | 195.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…d190backed Wizards | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Wizards | 11c | 132.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…033bbacked Wizards | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…f5f2backed Wizards | 11c | 118.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…88bfbacked Wizards | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed Wizards | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…a04bbacked Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Wizards | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Wizards | 11c | 99.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ec60backed Wizards | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.