CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs AaB Esport - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a06224fa53fcaa4d72affd8b56958016c15fa52be29bf7184e7f14cc49bc8b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AaB Esportof Imperial Academy, AaB Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed AaB Esport | 77c | 6,459$4,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.35 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Imperial Academy | 23c | 4,553$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Imperial Academy | 21c | 2,714$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.19 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked AaB Esport | 78c | 2,156$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.54 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Imperial Academy | 31c | 790.95$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed AaB Esport | 76c | 785.38$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.05 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial Academy | 34c | 723.91$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Imperial Academy | 19c | 520$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked AaB Esport | 73c | 397.26$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Imperial Academy | 27c | 397.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Imperial Academy | 26c | 383.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked AaB Esport | 76c | 255.79$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked AaB Esport | 69c | 155.04$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Imperial Academy | 38c | 119.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed AaB Esport | 62c | 109.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Imperial Academy | 29c | 105.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Imperial Academy | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Imperial Academy | 34c | 80.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial Academy | 24c | 76.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed AaB Esport | 64c | 76.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Imperial Academy | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked AaB Esport | 75c | 65.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Imperial Academy | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed AaB Esport | 64c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Imperial Academy | 23c | 45.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed AaB Esport | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed AaB Esport | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked AaB Esport | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed AaB Esport | 64c | 23.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed AaB Esport | 64c | 23.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs AaB Esport - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs AaB Esport (BO3) - European Pro League Regular PlayoffsImperial Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs AaB Esport - Map 2 WinnerImperial Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.