Other European Leagues · resolved market
Falkirk FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a3429ab3736d8f89c725ffe15fc35157150fbdf94b941875cec3da1de40de4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $471,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $472,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 56c | 239,548$134,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,402.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 56c | 217,607$121,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,764.57 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 44c | 199,294$87,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,689.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 44c | 178,571$78,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,571.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 44c | 42,716$18,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,794.98 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 14,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 11,670$5,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,133.79 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 5,235$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.46 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 44c | 4,686$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.14 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.96 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 44c | 3,333$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 55c | 2,113$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.03 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 45c | 1,450$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,378$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 46c | 1,049$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.54 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 895.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.45 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 57c | 881.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.08 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Under | 48c | 786.38$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.46 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 56c | 739.5$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.38 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 44c | 599.96$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 56c | 120.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 57c | 88.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Over | 56c | 83.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…ec0cbacked Under | 46c | 78.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…b6d0backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Under | 46c | 58.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Under | 45c | 57.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…a31bbacked Under | 46c | 55.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 45c | 53.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 56c | 48.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Under | 45c | 35.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8d…58e3backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 44c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 29.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 46c | 27.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 27.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…0f24backed Over | 55c | 27.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af6…167dbacked Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Falkirk FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Falkirk FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Falkirk FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Kilmarnock FC (-2.5)Falkirk FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.