Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Gen.G Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a41a1b263233defb1c3ff9e2eed2cc94536279309409414d473291683ee9c93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gen.G Esportsof Nongshim RedForce, Gen.G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6407…d360backed Nongshim RedForce | 33c | 600.8$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Gen.G Esports | 68c | 369.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 239 | 64%153 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Gen.G Esports | 67c | 297.37$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Gen.G Esports | 69c | 229.79$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 413 | 46.5%192 W · 221 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Gen.G Esports | 44c | 183.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked Nongshim RedForce | 39c | 124.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 183 | 43.2%79 W · 104 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Gen.G Esports | 61c | 119.23$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 177 | 53.7%95 W · 82 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e9…39a0backed Nongshim RedForce | 35c | 115.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Nongshim RedForce | 31c | 113.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Nongshim RedForce | 34c | 107$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nongshim RedForce | 63c | 103.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 394 | 66%260 W · 134 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…1582backed Gen.G Esports | 68c | 103.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 32c | 98.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 409 | 31.8%130 W · 279 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…9680backed Gen.G Esports | 66c | 75.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Gen.G Esports | 37c | 46.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Gen.G Esports | 71c | 42.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 188 | 66%124 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nongshim RedForce | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 499 | 54.9%274 W · 225 L | +22.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Gen.G Esports | 35c | 39.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nongshim RedForce | 33c | 32.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 677 | 50.4%341 W · 336 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…a007backed Gen.G Esports | 71c | 28.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Gen.G Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 WinnerGen.G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.