Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a6f63acab604182e5ee3eb325246da707f40cd98195579fe0b6b4a6662d4b15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75a4…3d29backed No | 70c | 1,144$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 71c | 1,044$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.15 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Yes | 31c | 751.13$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.85 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 30c | 627.24$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.39 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 424.03$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.27 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 408.64$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.88 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 352.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 25c | 329.2$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 250.63$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 30c | 221.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 76c | 144.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 13c | 140.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…105dbacked Yes | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 102.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 93.47$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 33c | 90.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 33c | 61.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 32c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 32c | 46.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Yes | 32c | 42.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 31c | 40.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 32c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 68c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 69c | 15.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 68c | 15.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42fe…b1d0backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-05?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.