NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a8fe58167ae9e2fcd0c5a96d3e231a40ed5b561686ad81ad0166f79d204c647
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Senators | 50c | 4,547$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.59 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens | 42c | 3,823$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.17 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 49c | 3,594$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.85 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 38c | 3,361$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.89 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Senators | 3c | 2,809$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators | 58c | 2,535$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.93 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Senators | 64c | 2,043$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Senators | 60c | 1,845$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.94 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 60c | 1,675$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.71 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Senators | 62c | 1,593$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.66 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Senators | 58c | 1,278$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.08 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…27fdbacked Senators | 61c | 1,146$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Canadiens | 39c | 1,069$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.03 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb38…48a6backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,037$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Canadiens | 36c | 832$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.48 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b624backed Senators | 61c | 723.64$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Senators | 2c | 698.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Senators | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.65 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Canadiens | 69c | 530$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.23 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Canadiens | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…eec0backed Canadiens | 40c | 490.45$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.27 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Canadiens | 45c | 388.19$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.33 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Canadiens | 73c | 378.38$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Senators | 59c | 346.6$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a3…e085backed Senators | 61c | 312.46$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Senators | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Canadiens | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 40c | 214.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…d521backed Senators | 60c | 165.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…dc6abacked Canadiens | 41c | 157$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Senators | 61c | 139.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Canadiens | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…c656backed Senators | 43c | 115.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators | 57c | 104.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…ab3cbacked Canadiens | 41c | 104.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Senators | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Senators | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6a…0283backed Senators | 61c | 96.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Canadiens | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canadiens | 61c | 86.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Canadiens | 36c | 81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Canadiens | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c1bbbacked Senators | 61c | 70.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…3fc8backed Canadiens | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…e4acbacked Canadiens | 39c | 56.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7d3bbacked Canadiens | 39c | 55.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…d51ebacked Senators | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…c4b2backed Senators | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Senators | 60c | 51.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…41efbacked Senators | 61c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…fe68backed Canadiens | 41c | 39.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…cfacbacked Canadiens | 39c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…0aa7backed Canadiens | 39c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…39d4backed Senators | 61c | 37.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b1…9e28backed Senators | 61c | 37.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…8811backed Senators | 61c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…494ebacked Canadiens | 39c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c19…cd13backed Canadiens | 39c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb6…a0e9backed Canadiens | 39c | 36.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Canadiens | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Canadiens | 49c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Senators | 61c | 32.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Canadiens | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Senators | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…3ac2backed Canadiens | 38c | 31.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb3…afafbacked Canadiens | 39c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…4173backed Senators | 61c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…80a2backed Senators | 61c | 30.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0b…af48backed Senators | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb57…0c84backed Canadiens | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 50cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0d…f7f6backed Canadiens | 75c | 29.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8d…a3e0backed Senators | 59c | 29.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…b557backed Senators | 60c | 29.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…f4adbacked Canadiens | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…a245backed Canadiens | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090d…9345backed Canadiens | 39c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…28b3backed Senators | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1006…35adbacked Canadiens | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Senators | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c5…e14bbacked Canadiens | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Senators | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…7247backed Senators | 61c | 23.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…a3fcbacked Senators | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…4b0fbacked Senators | 61c | 18.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…af74backed Senators | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.