TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Birmingham: Ashlyn Krueger vs Janice Tjen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ashlyn Kruegerof Ashlyn Krueger, Janice Tjen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,081 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Janice Tjen13c21,306$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.038,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1bf…e36bbacked Janice Tjen7c4,574$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Janice Tjen9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810655.7%59 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Janice Tjen7c1,030$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.11028.8%9 W · 93 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Janice Tjen12c817.39$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8342125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Janice Tjen8c589.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.312,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Ashlyn Krueger56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4320045%90 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Janice Tjen16c414.23$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Janice Tjen5c394$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.642,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Janice Tjen13c362.03$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.72,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Janice Tjen16c337.68$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8491755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Janice Tjen44c325.59$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6458745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Janice Tjen44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x441f…8954backed Janice Tjen27c282.24$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.862114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-54.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefcc…8a1dbacked Janice Tjen6c256.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.932040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Ashlyn Krueger55c254.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.556160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Ashlyn Krueger56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8823247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Ashlyn Krueger56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5758045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Ashlyn Krueger56c168.12$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3518258.8%107 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Janice Tjen45c167.79$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3557842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Ashlyn Krueger56c164.29$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2930258.6%177 W · 125 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2417…d2a4backed Janice Tjen21c137.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.94748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Janice Tjen22c131.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.981,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Ashlyn Krueger76c130.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.261,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa983…7ab4backed Janice Tjen27c85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3514545.5%66 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Janice Tjen40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Janice Tjen19c73.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.161,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Janice Tjen21c72.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.184,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Janice Tjen43c67.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9887251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Janice Tjen44c61.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.093,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Janice Tjen45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Janice Tjen46c53.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c00…5214backed Janice Tjen46c52.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Janice Tjen45c50.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7350845.9%233 W · 275 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Ashlyn Krueger56c49.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7922255.4%123 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Janice Tjen45c49.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.277,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Janice Tjen46c48.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.412,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Janice Tjen44c38.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0285637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked Ashlyn Krueger80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.510755.1%59 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9c…f77dbacked Ashlyn Krueger56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.717542.7%32 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Ashlyn Krueger56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7194058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Ashlyn Krueger56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.420048%96 W · 104 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Ashlyn Krueger63c29.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.831,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Ashlyn Krueger54c29.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.351,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Ashlyn Krueger69c28.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.862,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Ashlyn Krueger55c25.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4521949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Ashlyn Krueger58c22.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.351,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Ashlyn Krueger55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945053.3%240 W · 210 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ashlyn Krueger78c19.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.363,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.