CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ad147dc913b2e24e0cf27f3e4fbb454328fa190a6aca2fe8cf3681cd0016c5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Yawara Esports | 30c | 15,190$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.43 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fake do Biru | 70c | 10,122$7,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.12 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9489…3909backed Yawara Esports | 1c | 3,417$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 1,810$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Fake do Biru | 70c | 992.04$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.61 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Yawara Esports | 27c | 686$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.58 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 520.64$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 456.96$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Fake do Biru | 74c | 184$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 102.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Fake do Biru | 72c | 96.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Fake do Biru | 70c | 96.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Fake do Biru | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Fake do Biru | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Fake do Biru | 63c | 54.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…0b1fbacked Fake do Biru | 78c | 51.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Fake do Biru | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed Fake do Biru | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Fake do Biru | 43c | 43.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…dfb8backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Fake do Biru | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 34.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yawara Esports | 53c | 32.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Yawara Esports | 38c | 27.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Fake do Biru | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Yawara Esports | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…38e4backed Yawara Esports | 68c | 23.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…b7a9backed Yawara Esports | 47c | 21.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…9657backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerFake do Biru won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.