TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Jesper de Jong

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cristian Garinof Cristian Garin, Jesper de Jong
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,583

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa60d…03a8backed Jesper de Jong0c14,101$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.17962%49 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jesper de Jong45c6,682$3,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,031.892,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cristian Garin73c3,056$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.212,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jesper de Jong48c2,503$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.073,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Cristian Garin48c1,843$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.840748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Jesper de Jong55c1,816$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.2230542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jesper de Jong40c1,672$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6694,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Jesper de Jong44c1,479$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.596,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Cristian Garin45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66094355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Cristian Garin46c1,104$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.81,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Cristian Garin43c1,062$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.7815444.2%68 W · 86 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Jesper de Jong51c941.17$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.951,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Jesper de Jong60c774.62$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.771,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Jesper de Jong35c555.86$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8633149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Cristian Garin46c525.87$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9754450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Jesper de Jong57c514.25$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2268350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Cristian Garin44c453.08$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9538931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Cristian Garin46c442.22$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.031,57939.8%629 W · 950 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Cristian Garin46c420.89$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.3842743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Cristian Garin36c394.79$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.671,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jesper de Jong49c393.58$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.072,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Jesper de Jong39c369.47$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.882,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jesper de Jong54c350.43$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.783,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d2…7048backed Jesper de Jong45c342.22$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.83040%12 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Jesper de Jong49c328.92$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.514,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Cristian Garin45c322.33$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2854348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Jesper de Jong56c315.43$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.229461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Cristian Garin45c311.59$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3764637.2%240 W · 406 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Cristian Garin44c289.92$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.361,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Jesper de Jong46c271.28$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2634847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jesper de Jong53c248.45$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.627,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…4e09backed Cristian Garin41c245$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.553740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cristian Garin47c231.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Jesper de Jong25c229.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.329444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Jesper de Jong45c219.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.671,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Cristian Garin46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5930653.3%163 W · 143 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jesper de Jong21c209$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.712,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jesper de Jong19c187.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.842,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Jesper de Jong45c182.01$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4525756%144 W · 113 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Jesper de Jong55c180.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9917262.8%108 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x521c…f4aabacked Jesper de Jong56c174.34$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6336948.5%179 W · 190 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4652…6863backed Jesper de Jong29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.874163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf97e…aa3fbacked Cristian Garin43c149.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.59757.7%56 W · 41 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cristian Garin55c143.35$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.037,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Cristian Garin44c139.62$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1987135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca2…4c35backed Cristian Garin42c135.52$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+81.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Jesper de Jong55c133.77$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.571,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Cristian Garin36c133.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4812739.4%50 W · 77 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Jesper de Jong50c116.63$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.031,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Cristian Garin36c111.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4621451.4%110 W · 104 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Cristian Garin45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.091,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…d098backed Cristian Garin47c98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.943857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Jesper de Jong54c94.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.467,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Cristian Garin55c81.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.282,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cristian Garin51c80.44$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.449,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Jesper de Jong42c72.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.672,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Jesper de Jong54c72.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.960661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Cristian Garin44c67.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.881,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7607…85debacked Cristian Garin43c67.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4110951.4%56 W · 53 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Jesper de Jong29c66.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1649342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Jesper de Jong56c64.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0595846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8268…8534backed Cristian Garin46c63.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.084650%23 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Jesper de Jong55c61.92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0650259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d5…2149backed Cristian Garin45c58.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9118540%74 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x280e…2779backed Jesper de Jong53c55.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.984742.6%20 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Jesper de Jong55c54.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8545752.7%241 W · 216 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Jesper de Jong51c53.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2743558.6%255 W · 180 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Cristian Garin55c53.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2245051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Jesper de Jong50c52.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.671,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…560bbacked Jesper de Jong56c47.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.756347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Cristian Garin44c44.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.153457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Cristian Garin46c42.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7268557.8%396 W · 289 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Jesper de Jong54c41.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.171,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Cristian Garin45c38.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2722755.1%125 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Cristian Garin47c36.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5378248.3%378 W · 404 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Cristian Garin46c36.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.598258.5%48 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe516…1d31backed Cristian Garin54c36.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7617962.6%112 W · 67 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Jesper de Jong56c35.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6824249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7c…8ab4backed Cristian Garin47c34.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.536863.2%43 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Jesper de Jong56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.472,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Jesper de Jong57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.482,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Jesper de Jong59c33.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5172957.3%418 W · 311 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Cristian Garin50c30.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.413338.3%51 W · 82 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0384…639bbacked Cristian Garin45c29.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9612962.8%81 W · 48 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2dc…f9d3backed Jesper de Jong51c28.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.567852.6%41 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f9d…c744backed Jesper de Jong57c27.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5911247.3%53 W · 59 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8b…6fa2backed Cristian Garin44c26.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.98540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Jesper de Jong51c24.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.634975.5%37 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Cristian Garin52c22.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.953,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d59…abebbacked Jesper de Jong61c21.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.215560%33 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Jesper de Jong57c21.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231358.5%183 W · 130 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd46…2a7dbacked Cristian Garin72c20.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e0f…8b08backed Cristian Garin69c18.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7825265.1%164 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Cristian Garin75c14.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6132843.9%144 W · 184 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.