Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: AGELITE vs REJECT (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b2e04cb7b905306cd0bb183a06cd7128f5eef368acdb045f3600f3edff97743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REJECTof AGELITE, REJECT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked REJECT | 61c | 635.81$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.92 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked REJECT | 67c | 593.27$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed AGELITE | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed AGELITE | 35c | 340$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed REJECT | 69c | 337.1$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AGELITE | 65c | 241.24$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.81 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked AGELITE | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked REJECT | 35c | 147.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked REJECT | 71c | 143.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked AGELITE | 33c | 143.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked AGELITE | 56c | 130.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed AGELITE | 33c | 129.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed REJECT | 47c | 123.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed AGELITE | 62c | 117.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed AGELITE | 64c | 100.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked REJECT | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AGELITE | 32c | 91.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed AGELITE | 34c | 85.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked REJECT | 67c | 79.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed REJECT | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked REJECT | 67c | 70.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed REJECT | 53c | 60.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed REJECT | 67c | 55.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed AGELITE | 36c | 50.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked AGELITE | 41c | 48.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AGELITE | 50c | 47.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed AGELITE | 48c | 45.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffbb…7a04backed AGELITE | 70c | 45.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed AGELITE | 32c | 44.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed AGELITE | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…16cbbacked AGELITE | 42c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed AGELITE | 64c | 35.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.