CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs LPH Gaming (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b44a8ff54452960682fa2162a44486443f452c715b15f84a51dc327b6a9bb7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LPH Gamingof eSuba, LPH Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa16b…b541backed LPH Gaming | 50c | 1,073$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.9 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed eSuba | 43c | 481.1$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.01 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked eSuba | 52c | 382.05$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed eSuba | 31c | 322.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LPH Gaming | 60c | 317$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked eSuba | 45c | 313$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked LPH Gaming | 59c | 247.26$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.78 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked eSuba | 49c | 223.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed eSuba | 55c | 204.78$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed LPH Gaming | 62c | 190.53$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked eSuba | 32c | 175.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LPH Gaming | 61c | 133.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked LPH Gaming | 75c | 122.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…711dbacked eSuba | 39c | 103.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed eSuba | 55c | 91.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed eSuba | 55c | 84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed eSuba | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked LPH Gaming | 63c | 74.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed eSuba | 55c | 68.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LPH Gaming | 61c | 66.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed eSuba | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LPH Gaming | 56c | 54.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…1a7bbacked eSuba | 40c | 52.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked eSuba | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed eSuba | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked LPH Gaming | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked eSuba | 36c | 33.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed LPH Gaming | 63c | 33.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LPH Gaming | 63c | 26.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LPH Gaming | 63c | 23.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.