Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Harriet Dart vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b528804f73e3858f6141d10d9dd2d5dc39dca63ee13655c95048f6e2ee2e42d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leyre Romero Gormazof Harriet Dart, Leyre Romero Gormaz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Harriet Dart | 10c | 1,309$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.19 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Harriet Dart | 8c | 876.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Harriet Dart | 35c | 576.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Harriet Dart | 33c | 492.53$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.53 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 78c | 479.95$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Harriet Dart | 22c | 426.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 67c | 367.65$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Harriet Dart | 18c | 362.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 65c | 326.24$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Harriet Dart | 32c | 299.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Harriet Dart | 33c | 267.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 65c | 256.9$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 67c | 233.18$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Harriet Dart | 9c | 217.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Harriet Dart | 21c | 121.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 66c | 121.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Harriet Dart | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 66c | 79.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Harriet Dart | 33c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 64c | 63.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Harriet Dart | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…6080backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…5861backed Harriet Dart | 34c | 43.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…454bbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 73c | 40.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…426dbacked Harriet Dart | 33c | 35.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.