CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b66c8002ba61b01cfdd95b687a6e18cc6355a340261848aba40a70cd2b2cc57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof STATE, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked STATE | 49c | 7,781$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.92 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed STATE | 0c | 7,320$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed G2 Ares | 49c | 3,376$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.57 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE | 50c | 3,272$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked G2 Ares | 50c | 2,700$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked G2 Ares | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed STATE | 53c | 1,869$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed G2 Ares | 49c | 1,186$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.31 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed G2 Ares | 53c | 1,015$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.22 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed G2 Ares | 45c | 1,014$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.44 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed STATE | 59c | 901.8$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.57 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed G2 Ares | 53c | 783.02$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.02 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed STATE | 49c | 774.73$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.98 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked G2 Ares | 54c | 735.4$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.38 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed G2 Ares | 61c | 721.3$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.18 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked STATE | 45c | 658.25$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.34 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked G2 Ares | 60c | 656.67$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.67 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 641.59$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.21 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed STATE | 38c | 615$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.27 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked G2 Ares | 54c | 544.96$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.2 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed STATE | 43c | 482.97$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.18 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares | 54c | 473.37$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.38 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa0…c3acbacked G2 Ares | 74c | 449.13$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.13 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked G2 Ares | 54c | 406.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…50b0backed STATE | 50c | 402.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked STATE | 38c | 382$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed STATE | 39c | 370.56$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.21 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked G2 Ares | 49c | 358$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 Ares | 76c | 347.72$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked STATE | 35c | 343$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd2…0c9dbacked G2 Ares | 63c | 333$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked G2 Ares | 73c | 329.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed STATE | 53c | 272.03$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…59cdbacked STATE | 50c | 269.9$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed STATE | 39c | 264.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed STATE | 6c | 240$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed STATE | 36c | 227$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed STATE | 40c | 219.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed STATE | 40c | 215$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 Ares | 50c | 210.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed STATE | 52c | 207.23$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed G2 Ares | 62c | 203.23$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked STATE | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed G2 Ares | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked STATE | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed STATE | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked STATE | 27c | 194$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed STATE | 22c | 192$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed G2 Ares | 53c | 179.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked G2 Ares | 47c | 178.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed G2 Ares | 50c | 174.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked STATE | 37c | 160.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed STATE | 32c | 154.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed G2 Ares | 53c | 152.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed G2 Ares | 49c | 150$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares | 48c | 144.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked STATE | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked STATE | 53c | 131.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed STATE | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked STATE | 37c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed STATE | 53c | 113$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed STATE | 44c | 109$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…7ad0backed STATE | 46c | 107.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed STATE | 52c | 103.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked G2 Ares | 50c | 103.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked STATE | 45c | 100.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed STATE | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed G2 Ares | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked G2 Ares | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked G2 Ares | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed STATE | 44c | 94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked G2 Ares | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked G2 Ares | 60c | 74.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed STATE | 19c | 69.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed G2 Ares | 50c | 65.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked STATE | 31c | 65.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed G2 Ares | 58c | 63.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed STATE | 33c | 61.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked G2 Ares | 62c | 58.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked STATE | 37c | 53.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed STATE | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed STATE | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked G2 Ares | 57c | 49.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked G2 Ares | 50c | 47.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed G2 Ares | 63c | 44.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked G2 Ares | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed G2 Ares | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed STATE | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…1bffbacked G2 Ares | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked G2 Ares | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed G2 Ares | 47c | 39.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked STATE | 49c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed G2 Ares | 50c | 32.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed STATE | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed G2 Ares | 69c | 30.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 29.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed STATE | 53c | 25.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfc…0556backed G2 Ares | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed STATE | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534f…9a55backed G2 Ares | 53c | 20.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.