TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Kaichi Uchida

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Daniel Milavskyof Daniel Milavsky, Kaichi Uchida
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9dd…b525backed Daniel Milavsky59c6,105$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.4525843.8%113 W · 145 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Kaichi Uchida7c2,985$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0419410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Milavsky78c2,260$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.849,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Kaichi Uchida39c1,825$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.936,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Kaichi Uchida35c1,716$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.985,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Kaichi Uchida13c1,428$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7959721.8%130 W · 467 L+2.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Daniel Milavsky74c1,279$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.761,09160.2%657 W · 434 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Daniel Milavsky65c1,215$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.184,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Kaichi Uchida42c1,005$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.153255.5%295 W · 237 L+24.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kaichi Uchida48c1,000$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.019,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Daniel Milavsky67c569.25$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.252,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Daniel Milavsky56c521.76$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.571,21746.3%563 W · 654 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Kaichi Uchida27c517.3$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.034,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Daniel Milavsky64c502$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.721,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kaichi Uchida38c499.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.143,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Kaichi Uchida21c485.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Daniel Milavsky60c406.28$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3888157.9%510 W · 371 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Kaichi Uchida40c355.74$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.231,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Milavsky78c340.52$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.318,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Kaichi Uchida34c310$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.711,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…939ebacked Kaichi Uchida39c257.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008936%32 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Kaichi Uchida38c254.86$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3433043.9%145 W · 185 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Kaichi Uchida30c254$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.844,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Kaichi Uchida39c230$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.223,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Daniel Milavsky61c227.72$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.815,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed Kaichi Uchida28c212.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7918537.3%69 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…0304backed Kaichi Uchida38c209.2$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.416038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Kaichi Uchida39c207.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.491,84241%755 W · 1,087 L-31.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Daniel Milavsky72c207.49$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.241,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd68f…8d49backed Kaichi Uchida18c193$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.751323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Kaichi Uchida40c190.68$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.72,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Kaichi Uchida44c179.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9592138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Daniel Milavsky61c163.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.771,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Daniel Milavsky66c151.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7558145.8%266 W · 315 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Kaichi Uchida36c137.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.441,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Kaichi Uchida41c136.19$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.660651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Daniel Milavsky65c135.41$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0133658.3%196 W · 140 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Kaichi Uchida41c129.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9379047.5%375 W · 415 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Kaichi Uchida34c126.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.562,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Daniel Milavsky68c125.37$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.375662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kaichi Uchida11c122$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.521,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Kaichi Uchida33c121.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.961,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Daniel Milavsky61c118.11$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.112,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff7…d9d4backed Kaichi Uchida18c112.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025020.8%52 W · 198 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Kaichi Uchida20c107.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2128738.3%110 W · 177 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Kaichi Uchida48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Kaichi Uchida48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Kaichi Uchida36c104$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1732726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Kaichi Uchida20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8597852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Kaichi Uchida39c91.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.713,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Kaichi Uchida46c87.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,00938.3%386 W · 623 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Kaichi Uchida36c82.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5618038.3%69 W · 111 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Daniel Milavsky69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.950858.1%295 W · 213 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Kaichi Uchida48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Daniel Milavsky67c72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7643950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Daniel Milavsky69c69.23$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.556,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Daniel Milavsky69c64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.165,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…a06bbacked Kaichi Uchida31c62.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.573759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Daniel Milavsky68c60.71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7390152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Daniel Milavsky63c59.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.261,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Kaichi Uchida48c58.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Kaichi Uchida40c56.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.341,25452.1%653 W · 601 L+45.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b89…9183backed Daniel Milavsky66c40.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7920566.8%137 W · 68 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bef…5f5dbacked Daniel Milavsky68c38.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4313965.5%91 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Kaichi Uchida40c31.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4178350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Kaichi Uchida40c30.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2530055.7%167 W · 133 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Daniel Milavsky62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3437253.8%200 W · 172 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Kaichi Uchida35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbe…f8d9backed Kaichi Uchida35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510233.3%34 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Daniel Milavsky67c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.531,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53c9…234dbacked Daniel Milavsky61c25.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.828658.1%50 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Daniel Milavsky61c24.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.642,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f23…441fbacked Daniel Milavsky56c21.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.392454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Daniel Milavsky62c20.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7721153.6%113 W · 98 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Daniel Milavsky61c19.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.731,06857.4%613 W · 455 L+21.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42fe…b1d0backed Daniel Milavsky80c16.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.282466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.