Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Korda vs Zizou Bergs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c6584561600f77dfe28c489212655e6975943bcccd51390b9f9cd64c27e10d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bergsof Korda, Bergs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Korda | 52c | 6,236$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bergs | 40c | 3,862$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.08 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Bergs | 71c | 2,048$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.43 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Korda | 70c | 1,240$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.22 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Bergs | 30c | 999.72$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bergs | 58c | 832.43$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Korda | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bergs | 30c | 569.66$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.23 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…bacfbacked Bergs | 61c | 496.72$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.72 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Bergs | 64c | 470.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.63 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Bergs | 63c | 351.54$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.07 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -11.1wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Korda | 36c | 333.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…8a5abacked Bergs | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bergs | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Korda | 41c | 276.91$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Korda | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Korda | 24c | 190$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Bergs | 64c | 157.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Korda | 65c | 142.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Korda | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Korda | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Korda | 39c | 117.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Korda | 36c | 74.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Bergs | 77c | 72.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Korda | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Bergs | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6145…e49cbacked Korda | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Bergs | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Bergs | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Korda | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bergs | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…fc33backed Korda | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.