Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cae88753d7a7d947244af0a14825d317ab6223e99747c39332783a585265e47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moroccoof Norway, Morocco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Norway | 11c | 3,060$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.52 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Norway | 20c | 2,734$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.74 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Norway | 14c | 1,567$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.27 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Norway | 19c | 795.74$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.19 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Norway | 18c | 647.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e8…8d87backed Norway | 17c | 462.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Morocco | 80c | 427.08$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Norway | 19c | 315.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Norway | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Morocco | 80c | 221.34$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Norway | 19c | 217$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Norway | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Norway | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Norway | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Norway | 20c | 117.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Norway | 25c | 109.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Norway | 15c | 95.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…7637backed Norway | 19c | 78.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Morocco | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Morocco | 70c | 28.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)this page
- Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Morocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.