Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs CGN Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cf683aa6cd18389392b5cb542491cbd8268123700ff8b21fc513e491ca3aca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CGN Esportsof Pixel Lumina, CGN Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed CGN Esports | 63c | 1,492$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.21 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pixel Lumina | 36c | 721.81$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.93 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Pixel Lumina | 27c | 640.44$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Pixel Lumina | 29c | 544$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Pixel Lumina | 31c | 225.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pixel Lumina | 40c | 224.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pixel Lumina | 30c | 186$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked CGN Esports | 59c | 126.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed CGN Esports | 63c | 123$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Pixel Lumina | 50c | 86.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pixel Lumina | 43c | 83.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Pixel Lumina | 25c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Pixel Lumina | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Pixel Lumina | 40c | 38.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs CGN Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier PlayoffsCGN Esports won
- Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs CGN Esports - Map 2 WinnerCGN Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.