Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40353e31bbd05ceaadb46e7d0bbd9fd77e9b46d9ba950d77703d71d4ce5cc79c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CGN Esportsof Pixel Lumina, CGN Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Pixel Lumina | 31c | 4,452$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.53 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pixel Lumina | 13c | 1,828$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.79 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed CGN Esports | 62c | 1,510$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.43 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Pixel Lumina | 24c | 1,454$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.53 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked CGN Esports | 69c | 1,364$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.23 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked CGN Esports | 67c | 704.52$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.66 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Pixel Lumina | 24c | 601.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.3 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pixel Lumina | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed CGN Esports | 59c | 455.7$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked CGN Esports | 56c | 430$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Pixel Lumina | 37c | 369.76$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.43 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed CGN Esports | 54c | 320$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed CGN Esports | 73c | 312$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked CGN Esports | 61c | 244.94$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CGN Esports | 54c | 215.58$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Pixel Lumina | 46c | 198.69$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pixel Lumina | 49c | 185$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Pixel Lumina | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed CGN Esports | 52c | 183.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked CGN Esports | 59c | 169.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8c…500abacked Pixel Lumina | 46c | 163.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pixel Lumina | 19c | 132.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pixel Lumina | 44c | 112.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Pixel Lumina | 39c | 106.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Pixel Lumina | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked CGN Esports | 58c | 98.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked CGN Esports | 65c | 98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Pixel Lumina | 42c | 93.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Pixel Lumina | 41c | 69.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Pixel Lumina | 35c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked CGN Esports | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9f36backed CGN Esports | 62c | 65.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked CGN Esports | 70c | 62.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Pixel Lumina | 39c | 52.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed CGN Esports | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Pixel Lumina | 46c | 49.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed CGN Esports | 74c | 39.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed CGN Esports | 78c | 34.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked CGN Esports | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed CGN Esports | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed CGN Esports | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed CGN Esports | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked CGN Esports | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed CGN Esports | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked CGN Esports | 77c | 13.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs CGN Esports - Map 1 WinnerCGN Esports won
- Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs CGN Esports - Map 2 WinnerCGN Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.