Lol · resolved market
LoL: A One Man Army Esports Prime vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cf99fe818d7037afefe2b87d36411e96229f7a3b96dc98fbab052288290e447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Spandauof A One Man Army Esports Prime, Eintracht Spandau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Eintracht Spandau | 66c | 7,648$5,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.82 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked A One Man Army Esports Prime | 34c | 4,424$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Eintracht Spandau | 66c | 3,042$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.42 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed A One Man Army Esports Prime | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.84 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked A One Man Army Esports Prime | 34c | 1,050$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked A One Man Army Esports Prime | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked A One Man Army Esports Prime | 33c | 386.83$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked A One Man Army Esports Prime | 34c | 382.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Eintracht Spandau | 59c | 338.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.57 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed A One Man Army Esports Prime | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed A One Man Army Esports Prime | 34c | 256$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Eintracht Spandau | 42c | 182.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 160 | 34.4%55 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked A One Man Army Esports Prime | 58c | 166.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed A One Man Army Esports Prime | 27c | 166.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked A One Man Army Esports Prime | 35c | 159.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked A One Man Army Esports Prime | 34c | 133.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed A One Man Army Esports Prime | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked A One Man Army Esports Prime | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed A One Man Army Esports Prime | 34c | 76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 67c | 62.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked A One Man Army Esports Prime | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed A One Man Army Esports Prime | 49c | 49.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Eintracht Spandau | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Eintracht Spandau | 67c | 16.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.