Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Brand vs Deichmann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cff919112880cfbd594df84ad09c20e327537709db9fcceeef16d19cbf25cb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brandof Brand, Deichmann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Deichmann | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.81 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Brand | 54c | 1,129$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.45 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Brand | 45c | 616.92$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.63 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Brand | 51c | 344.05$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.11 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Brand | 52c | 321.06$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.09 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Deichmann | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Brand | 25c | 155.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Deichmann | 46c | 147.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Deichmann | 49c | 145.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Deichmann | 39c | 128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Brand | 22c | 104.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…bdc7backed Brand | 59c | 88.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…d4f7backed Deichmann | 59c | 84.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Deichmann | 44c | 74.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Deichmann | 72c | 69.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Deichmann | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Deichmann | 43c | 30.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Deichmann | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Deichmann | 53c | 20.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Brand | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brand | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Brand vs Deichmannthis page
- Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Victoria Brand vs Kathinka von DeichmannVictoria Brand won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.