Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Victoria Brand vs Kathinka von Deichmann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb59249a2f117e27ef0e1a16b66c836b6b34eda33a1473604640ba360b3ddb9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Victoria Brandof Victoria Brand, Kathinka von Deichmann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b6e…9486backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 54c | 3,263$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 75c | 3,113$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.13 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Victoria Brand | 53c | 3,053$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.98 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Victoria Brand | 18c | 1,825$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.03 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 44c | 1,801$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.13 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Victoria Brand | 39c | 1,721$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.6 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 52c | 1,485$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.02 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 53c | 1,359$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.21 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Victoria Brand | 27c | 876.1$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.98 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kathinka von Deichmann | 57c | 625.94$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.61 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Victoria Brand | 20c | 503.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.79 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 37c | 428.8$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.63 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 47c | 383.06$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.48 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 16c | 310$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Victoria Brand | 15c | 305.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.22 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 59c | 294.15$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.47 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Kathinka von Deichmann | 22c | 274.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Victoria Brand | 43c | 251.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Victoria Brand | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Victoria Brand | 31c | 236.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 68c | 235.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.36 | 155 | 32.9%51 W · 104 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Victoria Brand | 15c | 226.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Victoria Brand | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Victoria Brand | 47c | 198.14$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 52c | 191.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…bdc7backed Victoria Brand | 47c | 182.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Victoria Brand | 57c | 174.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Victoria Brand | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 67c | 147.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…848dbacked Victoria Brand | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Kathinka von Deichmann | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…a3adbacked Victoria Brand | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Victoria Brand | 27c | 123.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Kathinka von Deichmann | 55c | 121.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Victoria Brand | 57c | 117.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Kathinka von Deichmann | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Victoria Brand | 17c | 97.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea09…0803backed Victoria Brand | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Victoria Brand | 80c | 92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Victoria Brand | 32c | 83.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Victoria Brand | 17c | 75.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Victoria Brand | 16c | 71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Kathinka von Deichmann | 73c | 68.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…5ccabacked Victoria Brand | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Kathinka von Deichmann | 58c | 62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Kathinka von Deichmann | 67c | 55.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Victoria Brand | 79c | 42.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 168 | 73.8%124 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Victoria Brand | 55c | 36.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 52c | 30.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Victoria Brand | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8d…d241backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 41c | 29.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…86b1backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 59c | 27.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Kathinka von Deichmann | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…2e3cbacked Victoria Brand | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Victoria Brand | 80c | 24.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Kathinka von Deichmann | 45c | 23.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Victoria Brand | 69c | 23.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc03…6650backed Victoria Brand | 75c | 20.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 80 | 77.5%62 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Victoria Brand vs Kathinka von Deichmannthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Brand vs DeichmannBrand won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.