Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d267dc686192b110e2125903edeca77c7e76ccd91a9e852800c65536a530326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merrimack College Warriorsof Quinnipiac Bobcats, Merrimack College Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 51c | 1,949$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 770$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Merrimack College Warriors | 52c | 766.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.27 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Merrimack College Warriors | 47c | 749.48$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 51c | 647.06$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 628$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.12 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 49c | 621.63$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 54c | 437$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.67 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 48c | 199$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 52c | 194.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Merrimack College Warriors | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 50c | 69.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 51c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 50c | 59.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…4218backed Merrimack College Warriors | 33c | 58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Merrimack College Warriors | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 22c | 49.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 54c | 44.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 57c | 38.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 51c | 34.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Merrimack College Warriors | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Merrimack College Warriors | 49c | 23.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-1.5)this page
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Quinnipiac BobcatsMerrimack College Warriors won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 141.5Under won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.