Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dae1766a52f9ea347450f63c802e28f96782cf8c2121c91317ca726a9d38e92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 14c | 3,572$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.13 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 17c | 1,304$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.93 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 79c | 972.19$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…0f82backed Under | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 364.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…e420backed Over | 80c | 360$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…c1aebacked Under | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x395d…3cc9backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 248.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 21c | 238.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 9c | 205.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f0…d0adbacked Under | 22c | 177.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 21c | 158.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 78c | 129.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 122.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 21c | 107.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 78c | 105.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 15c | 103.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55eb…28cabacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…678cbacked Over | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 78c | 83.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 20c | 67.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 16c | 64.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5748backed Over | 79c | 59.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 79c | 55.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…63d7backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 76c | 14.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.