Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2be56aed4e45e0568bfe0ea3b844437ec2dda8c29a6511955eb5a6a9fc907bbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 5,877$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 22c | 1,249$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.79 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…6cc3backed Under | 75c | 1,235$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 18c | 728.91$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.76 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Under | 72c | 486.11$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 25c | 294.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 17c | 285.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…8c87backed Under | 76c | 263.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4b0backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 16c | 113$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Under | 78c | 85.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 31c | 80.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed Under | 77c | 54.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…c8cebacked Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc967…7de1backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 78c | 35.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…ff44backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.