Lol · resolved market
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs devils.one - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e07d40f3d6abcb245da351d9afccc6837404c1b9ebefa4c65d02fb93d43983d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Orbit Anonymoof Orbit Anonymo, devils.one
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2518…254fbacked devils.one | 54c | 11,720$6,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,286.69 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Orbit Anonymo | 44c | 3,693$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.12 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Orbit Anonymo | 52c | 2,322$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.54 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Orbit Anonymo | 49c | 1,943$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.44 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Orbit Anonymo | 43c | 1,136$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.72 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed devils.one | 44c | 451.88$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.83 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Orbit Anonymo | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orbit Anonymo | 70c | 393.74$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked devils.one | 58c | 383.97$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.71 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Orbit Anonymo | 45c | 296.6$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Orbit Anonymo | 57c | 214.56$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Orbit Anonymo | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed devils.one | 41c | 170.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 332 | 37.7%125 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Orbit Anonymo | 46c | 154$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked devils.one | 62c | 148.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked devils.one | 42c | 135.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed devils.one | 40c | 102.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Orbit Anonymo | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 184 | 48.4%89 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Orbit Anonymo | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…c777backed Orbit Anonymo | 51c | 95.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Orbit Anonymo | 63c | 89.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 57c | 88.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed devils.one | 63c | 86.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Orbit Anonymo | 79c | 80.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…45dfbacked Orbit Anonymo | 61c | 80.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed devils.one | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Orbit Anonymo | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Orbit Anonymo | 48c | 71.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Orbit Anonymo | 59c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed devils.one | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Orbit Anonymo | 62c | 58.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked devils.one | 64c | 54.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked devils.one | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Orbit Anonymo | 57c | 48.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked devils.one | 24c | 42.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked devils.one | 54c | 34.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed devils.one | 35c | 31.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Orbit Anonymo | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Orbit Anonymo | 62c | 29.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 59c | 24.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs devils.one - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonOrbit Anonymo won
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs devils.one - Game 1 Winnerdevils.one won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.