Lol · resolved market
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs devils.one - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41f39e22cb5c3a829f84f089d8441ad29675bbcff5e2ac1761a51622b71aaece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- devils.oneof Orbit Anonymo, devils.one
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orbit Anonymo | 65c | 3,774$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.57 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Orbit Anonymo | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Orbit Anonymo | 2c | 3,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 5.5%6 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Orbit Anonymo | 58c | 2,509$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.15 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed devils.one | 48c | 2,211$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.67 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked devils.one | 63c | 2,013$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.96 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Orbit Anonymo | 2c | 1,900$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 218 | 1.8%4 W · 214 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked devils.one | 42c | 1,628$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.65 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed devils.one | 48c | 1,203$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.43 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Orbit Anonymo | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Orbit Anonymo | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Orbit Anonymo | 9c | 833$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 253 | 31.2%79 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Orbit Anonymo | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Orbit Anonymo | 2c | 650$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Orbit Anonymo | 36c | 633.61$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.86 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Orbit Anonymo | 59c | 486.83$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.97 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Orbit Anonymo | 10c | 480$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Orbit Anonymo | 46c | 448.52$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.07 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked devils.one | 54c | 413.87$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.2 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Orbit Anonymo | 63c | 400.22$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.11 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed devils.one | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked devils.one | 60c | 324.89$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Orbit Anonymo | 61c | 319.47$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.47 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…7cebbacked Orbit Anonymo | 57c | 319$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Orbit Anonymo | 13c | 304$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Orbit Anonymo | 13c | 304$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Orbit Anonymo | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked devils.one | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed devils.one | 59c | 247.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Orbit Anonymo | 39c | 242.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Orbit Anonymo | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Orbit Anonymo | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x826c…cd27backed devils.one | 42c | 230.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed devils.one | 40c | 207$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Orbit Anonymo | 18c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Orbit Anonymo | 18c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed devils.one | 55c | 167.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed devils.one | 25c | 159.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed devils.one | 46c | 156.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Orbit Anonymo | 18c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed devils.one | 60c | 136.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…0a62backed Orbit Anonymo | 46c | 105.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed devils.one | 37c | 100.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Orbit Anonymo | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 177 | 39.5%70 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Orbit Anonymo | 37c | 95.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb38…7156backed Orbit Anonymo | 73c | 88.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed devils.one | 25c | 76.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked devils.one | 66c | 73.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Orbit Anonymo | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked devils.one | 63c | 65.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 235 | 59.6%140 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed devils.one | 33c | 61.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…09dabacked devils.one | 43c | 57.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Orbit Anonymo | 62c | 45.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Orbit Anonymo | 48c | 43.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Orbit Anonymo | 49c | 43.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked devils.one | 44c | 41.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb11…cdbcbacked Orbit Anonymo | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…c777backed devils.one | 57c | 35.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Orbit Anonymo | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…cc8abacked devils.one | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked devils.one | 57c | 30.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…5704backed Orbit Anonymo | 67c | 27.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Orbit Anonymo | 47c | 25.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed devils.one | 65c | 22.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 164 | 62.8%103 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs devils.one - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonOrbit Anonymo won
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs devils.one - Game 2 WinnerOrbit Anonymo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.